According to research conducted by C·I·B post-doctoral fellow Katelyn Faulkner (with C·I·B core
team members Mark Robertson, Mathieu Rouget and John Wilson), border control should focus on vectors that transport many alien species from
countries with climates similar to that of South Africa.
In an attempt to prevent biological invasions, border control inspects transport vectors of alien species (e.g. shipping
containers, the luggage of tourists), but as resources for these inspections are limited, they need to be prioritised. Vectors that transport
and introduce many organisms are inspected, but whether the introduced organisms will establish in the new region is not considered.
Using South Africa as a case study, Katelyn and her co-authors determined which of these factors should be considered when
identifying priorities for inspections. Katelyn and her co-authors used tourism and trade data as a proxy for the number of species introduced
to South Africa from foreign countries, and climate matching techniques to determine the likelihood that the introduced organisms would
establish once they arrived in South Africa.
The study showed that the number of alien species that will be introduced and establish varies across donor countries and
seasons. A theoretical model showed that the best way to identify inspection priorities is to include the number of species and their likelihood
of establishing. This strategy was more effective in detecting a higher number of potential invaders and less inspection effort was needed to
detect these species.
According to Katelyn, the lead author of the paper published in the Journal of Environmental Management, “our
results suggest that to prevent invasions, we should not only consider the number of species that will be introduced from a country, but also
the similarity of the countries' climates. However, it is important to note that as climatic similarity varies seasonally the identified
priorities will have to be updated regularly”.
The number of alien species that will be introduced and establish in South Africa varies across donor countries and
seasons. The map shows the seasonal variation (based on southern hemisphere seasons) in the countries from which a
■ low, ■ medium or ■ high
number of species with the potential to establish will be introduced to South Africa. (Graphic by Katelyn Faulkner)
To read the paper in the Journal of Environmental Management
Faulkner, K.T., Robertson, M.P.,
Rouget, M. and Wilson, J.R.U. 2016. Border control for stowaway alien species should be prioritised based on variations in establishment debt.
Journal of Environmental Management 180: 301-309.
For more information, contact Katelyn Faulkner at firstname.lastname@example.org